Alterama, Inc.
presents
Investing with a Future:
An Introduction to the Futures Market
FUTURES CONTRACTS -
MANAGED FUTURES -
TRADING SYSTEM -
BENEFITS OF MANAGED FUTURES -
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
Chapter 1 Guide to Futures and Options Trading
1.0 INTRODUCTION
By just opening this brochure,
you have taken a major step towards understanding the most exciting
and often profitable form of investment: trading on the world's
futures and option markets. This brochure will dispel the myths
sometimes associated with currency and commodity transactions;
it will show just how great the profits can be; it will outline
the major risks that must be faced. Alterama
is committed to educating all its clients because we believe
that only by understanding these markets will they properly benefit
from the extraordinary returns that these markets can offer.
There are many advantages to trading in Futures. One of the greatest
is that investment in these markets can complete the diversification
of your portfolio. After all, Futures are not bound to the performance
of the stock markets, interest rates or inflation. Nor do you
have to take the long term view: from time to time, the markets
are so favorable that you can open and close a position in the
same day and make a profit, and these profits can be made in
both rising and falling markets.
2.0 FUTURES CONTRACTS
2.1 The Basics A Futures
contract is a standardized binding agreement to buy or sell a
specific commodity, precious metal, currency or financial instrument
for a future date, at an agreed price, fixed on the floor of
an organized exchange. This legal obligation can be fulfilled
by the delivery of the commodity and the payment of the full
contract price (sometimes fulfillment in cash). In general to
offset your position in the futures market, you need only to
find a substitute buyer or seller. You do this by giving your
broker an equal but opposite order to your current position.
Only about three percent of futures contracts are actually delivered.
Traded options on futures give the buyer the right, but not the
obligation to buy or sell a specific contract, at a specific
price, until a specific date. A call option purchases the right
without obligation, to buy a futures contract. A put option purchases
the right, without obligation, to sell a futures contract. The
price paid for the option -"premium"- is the maximum risk. Historically
the increased use of futures by speculators makes the market
more efficient and actually reduces price fluctuations. Without
active involvement of speculators, buyers' and sellers' price
difference (the bid and offer price spread) would widen and for
example, the consumer would have to pay higher food prices to
compensate for the risk of violent price swings resulting from
temporary gluts or shortage. The speculators assume the risks
associated with fluctuating prices and thereby protect "hedgers" in
the hope of a profit.
2.2 Leverage Each Futures
contract requires just an initial margin to be deposited. Initial
margins usually range between 5% and 10% of the total value of
the contract. This leverage factor is probably the best in all
financial instruments. You can therefore take a substantial position
with the prospect of large gains for only a small deposit (although
the potential for loss is equally large). For example, a Swiss
Franc futures contract with a total value of US $87,500.00 can
be bought or sold with an initial margin of US $1,980.00. This
means a 1-% movement in the price of the contract (representing
US $ 875.00) gives a profit or loss of 44% on the deposit.
2.3 Profits from Falling
as well as Rising Markets Trading Futures contracts can generate
a profit from movements in markets whether they are up or down.
Potential profit-making positions are virtually always available;
it is just as easy to profit from falling prices as it is from
rising prices. As the Futures Markets are continually trading
in these contracts of future obligations, the contract itself
will be traded at different prices between the date of its initiation
and the date of expiration. For example, a contract may have
a value of US $ 20,000: however, by the time it must be delivered
its value might have risen or fallen depending on market demand.
Should you anticipate a rise in prices, you would "go long" in
that future (i.e. buy and then sell at the increased price).
Conversely, if you anticipate a fall in prices you would "go
short" (i.e. sell first and then buy back when prices have fallen,
thus taking the difference in price). Because it is possible
to trade on both rising and falling markets, there are always
opportunities to be taken advantage of.
2.4 Price Trend Forecasting The
Fundamental Analysis is the study of basic, underlying factors,
which will affect the supply and demand, and hence the price
of a futures contract. The accuracy of Fundamental Analysis often
hinges on fast changing information-much of it is not easily
obtained, nor can it always be accurately interpreted. Fundamental
Analysis can provide the overview, the Big Picture. This type
of analysis is long-term in nature, while most futures trading
tends to be short- to medium-term. The Technical Analysis deduces
its prognostication of futures price trends solely on the analysis
of price activity. Past price action can provide clues as to
future price action. Technical traders may use computer software
programs to follow pricing trends and perform quantitative analysis.
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3.0 TRADING SYSTEMS
Trading systems are based on
the fact that by using a systematic approach to buying and selling
that is thoroughly tested on historical data-real price data
and real market conditions- you are much more likely to make
money that if you trade on intuition. The method must prove its
merit from an objective, scientific point of view and therefore,
be definable completely in straightforward, logical rules that
a computer can master. To be profitable in the future, the system
must have been tested with a minimum of curve fitting. Systematic
traders believe that back testing and analyzing patterns-and
eliminating emotions-are the only foundation for solid returns.
By incorporating sound rules of Money Management, any sensible
system will eliminate the prospect of ruin and allow you to be
part of the next opportunity for profit.
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Chapter 2 Managed Futures: An
Alternative Investment Opportunity
1.0 A GROWING INDUSTRY
The term Managed Futures describes
an industry made up of professional money managers known as commodity
trading advisors (CTAs). CTAs are regulated by the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission and the National Futures Association.
These trading advisors manage clients' assets on a discretionary
basis using global Futures Markets as an investment medium. Managed
Futures have been used as an investment alternative by high-net-worth
individual for more than 20 years. More recently, institutional
investors such as corporate and public pension funds and banks
have made managed futures one segment of a well-diversified portfolio.
More that $30 billion are under management by trading advisors.
The acceptance of Managed Futures by these investors may be due
to increases institutional use of the Future Markets for risk-management
programs. Portfolio managers have become more familiar with financial-based
futures contracts. Additionally, investors want greater diversity
in their portfolios. They seek to increase portfolio exposure
to international investments and nonfinancial sectors, an objective
that is easily accomplished using global Futures Markets.
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2.0 BENEFITS of MANAGED FUTURES
Managed Futures, by their very
nature, are a diversified investment opportunity. Trading advisors
have the ability to trade in over 50 different markets worldwide
and are often diversifying with different trading approaches.
2.1 Reduced Portfolio Volatility Risk The
primary benefit of adding a managed futures component to a diversified
investment portfolio is that it may decrease volatility risk.
This risk-reduction contribution to the portfolio is possible
because of the low to slightly negative correlation of Managed
Futures with equities and bonds. One of the essential tenets
of Modern Portfolio Theory is that more efficient portfolio can
be created by diversifying among asset categories with low or
negative correlation. This can be especially true during times
of high valuation of the Stock Market.
2.2 Potential for Enhanced Portfolio Returns Not
only can the inclusion of Managed Futures decrease portfolio
risk, but also it can also simultaneously enhance overall portfolio
performance. This is substantiated by an extensive bank of academic
research, beginning with the landmark study of Dr. John Lintner
of Harvard University in which he wrote that "the combined portfolios
of stocks (or stocks and bonds) after including judicious investments…in
leveraged managed futures accounts show substantially less risk
at every possible level of expected return that portfolios of
stocks (or stocks and bonds) alone."
2.3 Ability to Profit in Any Economic Environment Managed
Futures trading advisors can take advantage of price trends.
They can buy futures positions in anticipation of a rising market
or sell futures positions if they anticipate a falling market.
For example, periods of inflation, hard commodities such as precious
metals, oil, grains and livestock tend to do well, as do the
major world currencies. During deflationary times, futures provide
an opportunity to profit by selling in a declining market with
the expectation of buying, or closing out the position, at a
lower price. Trading advisors can even use strategies employing
options on futures contract that allow for profits potential
in flat or neutral markets.
2.4 Ease of Global Diversification The
establishment of global futures exchanges and the accompanying
increase in actively traded contract offerings have allowed trading
advisors to diversify their portfolios by geography as well as
by products. Managed Futures accounts can participate in at least
50 different markets worldwide, including stock indexes, financial
instruments, agricultural and tropical products, precious and
nonferrous metals, currencies, and energy products. Trading advisors
thus have ample opportunity for profit potential and risk reduction
among a broad array of non-correlated markets.
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3.0 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
3.1 Individual Accounts They
represent about 44 percent of all managed accounts. Institutional
or high-net-worth individuals usually open them. These accounts
require a substantial capital investment so that the advisor
can diversify his trading among a variety of market positions.
Management agreement terms may include specific termination language
and financial management requirements to customize the account
to investor's specification.
3.2 Private Pools This type of account
commingles money from several investors, usually into a limited
partnership. Most of these pools have minimum investments ranging
from approximately $25,000 to 250,000. The main advantage of
private pools is the economy of scale that can be achieved for
middle-sized investors. Offshore futures funds are offered to
non-U.S. resident investors.
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